Wednesday, August 06, 2025

A Nuclear Hanging Tomorrow Focuses the Mind

I wrote that Israel would figure out how to attack Iran given the high nuclear stakes despite its lack of aerial refueling. Israel thought outside the box and solved their problem.

This observation, at least, is spot on:

[Israel's air force is made up of] earnest professionals who accept the limitations of their equipment and strive to overcome them — for example with unique air-launched ballistic missiles used as range extenders. 

It has long been said that Israel would need a hundred sorties to make a strike worthwhile. Lack of aerial refueling was said to be a handicap that Israel could not overcome.

I thought Israel could work around that. If aerial refueling was so critical, I argued, Israel would have prioritized that. Instead, Israel worked around that limit.

Yes, America stepped in to smash up Fordow and another target with MOPs unique to America's arsenal (and another with mere cruise missiles). I suspect that was done for the purpose of ending the campaign for American interest in forestalling Israel attempting to carry out their plan. 

I don't believe Israel started the campaign with no idea how the final Fordow piece could be dealt with. Perhaps one day we'll learn about that. 

NOTE: TDR Winter War of 2022 coverage continues here.

NOTE: You may also like to read my posts on Substack, at The Dignified Rant: Evolved. Go ahead and subscribe to it. You know you want to. 

NOTE: I made the image with Bing.

Tuesday, August 05, 2025

Testing the Deterrence Value of Nuclear Gobbledygook

There is no extreme threat to Britain that would not prompt a response on the beaches, the landing grounds, in the fields and in the streets, and in the hills; we shall never not respond.

The EU essentially seeks nukes but isn't about to be clear about it:

Prime Minister Keir Starmer of Britain and President Emmanuel Macron of France will announce on Thursday the details of a new defense relationship that will include a first-ever pledge to have their nuclear arsenals work together in the event of serious danger to allies in Europe. ...

The agreement between the two countries will affirm that “there is no extreme threat to Europe that would not prompt a response by both nations,” according to a statement published late on Wednesday by the British Ministry of Defense.

The announcement expected on Thursday is not a full guarantee of nuclear protection for European nations, but experts said it is a small step in that direction.

Stirring words should the Europeans ever go toe-to-toe with the Russkies.

Pledging Britain's people to safeguard the continent when its role in NATO should do that seems like a way of retreating from Brexit a little bit more. France's desire to stiff-arm NATO is no shock.

Further, Moscow will need to use their best translators to figure out whether that the double negative that backs into a sort-of-nuclear guarantee is a deterrent.

And we'll see if Britain and France--on behalf of all Europeans--can convincingly pledge to trade London or Paris for Odessa or Budapest any more easily that America in the Cold War pledged New York for Bonn.

NOTE: TDR Winter War of 2022 coverage continues here.

NOTE: You may also like to read my posts on Substack, at The Dignified Rant: Evolved. Go ahead and subscribe to it. You know you want to. 

NOTE: With some difficulty in overcoming the system's so-called standards, I made the image with Bing.

Monday, August 04, 2025

The Winter War of 2022 Defeats Russia

In many ways, Russia already lost the Winter War of 2022. This isn't to say that Ukraine couldn't also lose, possibly even worse than Russia loses. But even a Russian battlefield victory isn't enough to obscure, let alone reverse, Russia's decline.

The war goes on. Russia intensified bombing Ukrainian civilians while slowly plowing forward at a low rate. Ukraine hits Russia's railroads seemingly part of an effort to isolate Crimea and the Kherson front. And unless I'm seeing what I want, it seems like Ukraine is carrying out some punishing local counter-attacks. Something I've long looked for but haven't seen. Yet Ukraine's casualties are accumulating even if well short of Russian levels of loss.

I think this is right:

In analyzing the process by which the Russia-Ukraine war will end, the most critical factor, as I have argued before, is that by not defeating Ukraine, Russia already has lost the war. Russian President Vladimir Putin’s primary interest was in creating and controlling a buffer between Russia and Poland on the eastern edge of NATO. Beyond that, he wanted to recover Russia’s status as a great power, which it had held from the end of World War II to the collapse of the Soviet Union. ...

For Russia, the loss of military significance was accompanied by an inability to become a major economic power. Under the czars and the communists, Russia had always been an economic weakling. Although it had vast and valuable lands, as well as a reasonably educated population, Russia has continued to be what can most kindly be called an underperforming economy.

Invading Ukraine didn't solve the problem of Russia's military and economic weakness. It enhanced the weakness and Putin lost his chance for a partial victory through American-sponsored diplomacy:

Putin gambled on the chance he could break Ukraine in one last, ruthless effort. Instead, the U.S. has pulled close to NATO and is sending weapons to Ukraine in concert with Germany, which has also deployed tanks closer to Russia’s border. The mystery is whether Putin can politically survive his ongoing miscalculations. 

The problems from going to a war economy and bribing recruits into the virtual death sentence extend back home:

The result has been a dual-economy: while military expenditures create a wartime boom, the civilian economy has been battered[.] 

Strategersky.

Putin has lost far too much to settle for anything less that victory on the terms he first set. But a successor unencumbered by the heavy losses Russia has endured on Putin's orders could make that deal to "save" Russia by the simple expedient of refusing to keep digging in the "special military operation" hole they find themselves in.

Is Putin creating that successor? Hell, the justification writes itself

I wasn't kidding when I said that the "post-Cold War" period between the Cold War and the new Era of Great Power Competition should be known as the Russian Decline Era.

#WhyRussiaCan'tHaveNiceThings 

NOTE: ISW updates continue here. Also, I put war-related links and commentary in the Weekend Data Dump.

NOTE: You may also read my posts on Substack, at The Dignified Rant: Evolved.

Sunday, August 03, 2025

Weekend Data Dump

I post at The Dignified Rant: Evolved on Substack. Help me out by subscribing and by liking and sharing posts. I also post here on TDR seven days a week, including Weekend Data Dump and Winter War of 2022. I occasionally post short data dump-type items on my Substack "Notes" section.  

In case you missed it on Substack: When You Start to Defend Your Islands, Defend Your Islands!

In case you missed it on Substack: Before Drones There Was the 60mm Mortar

In case you missed it on Substack: Fit to Float is Not Fight to Fight

In case you missed it on Substack: One Year Evolving on Substack

In case you missed it on Substack: America's Trilogy of Dominance?

Yes, Iran still wants nukes no matter what damage the 12-Day War inflicted. I still think Iran could buy them from North Korea

Sh*t got real or an abundance of caution?

Putin's costly war to take a country that wants nothing to do with Moscow is costing Russia influence in ex-Soviet countries. And it could get much worse. #WhyRussiaCan'tHaveNiceThings 

Sounds like Army Delta Force got busy mowing jihadi grass in northwest Syria

British to Americans: Freedom is too ingrained in our society to need a written Bill of Rights! Wait. What? Tip to Instapundit.

CRS report to Congress on the SSN(X) program

The Marines are using their V-22 Ospreys to hunt submarines. To be fair, the Marines don't need their transport aircraft to fight ground operations or conduct forcible entry operations in a Force Design Corps.

Buh bye M10 Booker. Not saying I killed it, but I posted this essay about that FBOH the day before the announcement. Coincidence? Okay, sure. Probably.

Russian corruption is worse than Ukrainian corruption: "Russian authorities are increasingly pursuing corruption cases against regional and military officials, legal maneuverings that are putting the elite on guard and in some cases may be aimed at quelling public anger about battlefield failures." 

I think this is overly optimistic. If China keeps taking territory and entrenching its de facto control, who cares if targets are defiant? 

Hope amidst the ruins of American warship building? 

China is shifting to blue water navy training. Does this mean China is confident it can win near its shores and wants to exploit a wartime victory off the coast? It could mean China has decided peacetime power projection is needed without challenging its neighbors and the United States. Just saying.

After five days of fighting, Thailand and Cambodia agreed to a ceasefire

The three biggest lies China will try to sell to America to reduce tensions over Taiwan.  

So what's the Lockheed Martin "'magical' classified aeronautics program that is something that would be in high demand for many years in the future" that excuses its poor earnings report? 

LOL. And Britain is surrounded by ocean, which should make it really easy by comparison to the US. Tip to Instapundit.

Apparently the Australian government assumes the descendants of criminal settlers can be assumed to be criminals. We really need to try harder to justify the "Free World" description. Tip to Instapundit.

So why isn't Israel suffering another Intifada and more terror attacks over Gaza? The lack of response is much broader than inside Israel. The Palestinian appeal has become ... more selective. And for Iran, the appeal is someone else dying for them in battle. As for Israel creating a "forever war"? Hamas did that.

Hmmm: "[Ideological/religious] groups can kill; drug cartels can kill, but they can also lavishly reward. Ideology is a powerful force, but nothing near the power of greed and fear, which creates a compelling defensive system." I thought a profit motive made drug cartel leaders less suicidally stubborn. I'm wrong?

One of the four American SSGNs visited Brisbane Australia.

LeadOps are the best ops: "The U.S. military has launched its most intensive Somalia bombing campaign on record, carrying out more than 50 airstrikes in the country since the start of the year, U.S. Africa Command strike data show." 

Russia is faceplanting in Ukraine, wrecking its army and economy; while Ukraine is planning for the post-war. But I can't help but fear Ukraine is taking its eye off the ball. Russia has to be defeated first to get that post-war recovery. 

The rise of drones in the Winter War of 2022. They are important. But I'm still not sure how fleeting lessons of this particular war can be divined to help American forces. Lessons of 2023, 2024, and this year would be different. If we commit to particular lessons we could be as ill-prepared as if we learned nothing.

As we contemplate submarines for battling the Chinese navy, don't forget the capable conventionally powered attack subs that the Japanese and South Koreans have

Sh*t got real: "Israel ordered its troops to permanently seize parts of the Gaza Strip — to be 'annexed to Israel' — unless Hamas hands over the remaining hostages[.]" Consequences. What are they?

Down on Marine Force Design: "The stunning failure of Force Design is the lack of warfighting and logistics capabilities to operationalize the concept." I've had concerns with fighting and logistics

Aim high: "The Defense Department’s secretive X-37B  Orbital Test Vehicle will lift off again in late August, carrying a quantum sensor that could enable navigation when GPS is unavailable as well as a laser communication system[.]" Space Force got custody of that motto, right?

From the Army, How Russia Fights. I'm looking forward to reading the report. 

Interesting: "Turkey has secured a landmark defense export agreement with Indonesia, signing contracts for 48 KAAN fighter aircraft and two İstif-class frigates[.]" 

A Gazan child afflicted with a wasting illness is being used as fake evidence of starvation in Gaza. The brother and mother are clearly not starving. Hamas could end any hunger by surrendering instead of blocking humanitarian aid. Why does Israel have the duty to care more about Gazans than Hamas does?

I cannot imagine the Russians selling any islands to the United States right now. But let's revisit the issue when the Chinese grab Russia more firmly by the balls and are really squeezing.

Short CRS report on Taiwan defense and military issues

Well, this development does justify setting up POLARCOM

A Pentagon decision "extends tours for unaccompanied service members assigned to South Korea from 12 months to 24 months." 

The Battle for Palau rages

The British government is trying to impress American tech companies into British service to control the British people. I thought the War of 1812 established our sovereignty. Tip to Instapundit. 

Will AI result in a quantum leap in military wargames? Simulating enemy decision-making always risks mirror imaging by your guys. But will LLM-based AI just LLM-image? Or can we build subset LLMs based on each country's digital footprint plus intelligence that feed the in-house AI?

Selfridge: "More than 7,500 armed forces members will attend Northern Strike (NS) 25-2, one of the Department of Defense’s largest reserve component readiness exercises. It’s happening across [Michigan] from Aug. 2 to Aug. 16." 

The Army is testing a turret-top mini-gun in place of the .50 caliber machine gun on the Abrams for counter-ambush. Without a remote weapon station? Egad. Add that and automate it like Phalanx for anti-drone work, and then we're good to go.

The Houthi are tanned, rested, and ready to shoot at ships in the Red Sea again. When does Egypt take action? 

Starmer to Chamberlain"Hold my warm beer." Worse than shameful, it's psychotic. The British invented "shoot on sight, shoot first, shoot to kill, keep shooting" to deal with Islamist jihadis.

Russia has been shrinking for decades: "Russia is running out of Russians. The Ukraine War hasn’t helped, with losses of over a million dead, badly wounded and deserters. Millions more fled the country to avoid getting mobilized into the military to die in Ukraine." 

Westerners wrongly (and conveniently) say China will learn from Russia's invasion of Ukraine that conquest is futile. This is wrong: "holding the island against a mobilized population would be a recipe for a quagmire." I doubt Taiwanese would resist. And if I was China, I'd mass deport Taiwanese to Xinjiang.

Danger, Will Robinsky! "The Chinese military announced Wednesday that it would hold an annual naval exercise and conduct a maritime joint patrol with Russian forces next month." Putin should never let the Chinese see Russia's military up close. Especially not at Fúlādíwòsītuōkè Vladivostok!

Did China violate the Biological Warfare Convention by smuggling that crop fungus into Michigan (and toother states)? Two weeks ago I asked if it was an act of war. But if we ignore killing millions of our people, mere crops are just about a good deed, eh?

Israel should follow a simple strategy for dealing with Hamas: "If you kill enough of them, they stop fighting." Sadly, Hamas has the same strategy. But "them" refers to Gazans and "they" refers to Israelis. 

So, what did that big earthquake off Kamchatka and the subsequent waves rolling into their main sub base do to Russia's strategic nuclear submarines? 

If corruption and socialist instincts aren't crushed to unleash free markets, India won't make the leap: "India is not a classic great power, but neither is it merely a regional actor." And it might regress to the latter. Not wanting to align with America to retain options with India-hating Pakistan and China is nuts.

The China-Russia-Iran axis isn't dead because it is perfectly natural for such autocratic states to have loose alliances. So it both is and isn't an alliance as the West views alliances? Okaay

As the U.S. contemplates reducing troops in Europe (and to be fair, the current level is a post-Winter War of 2022 surge), Poland is confident its contingent is secure. I imagine that's true

To be fair, America only has to worry about pro-Hamas people taking over our campuses. Europeans worry about losing their cities: "US allies break with Trump to force diplomatic shift on Gaza[.]"

Good: "Germany's armed forces reported a 28% surge in soldier recruits from January to late July, compared with the same period last year[.]" I was worried recruits wouldn't match promises of funding increases.

This post on Ukrainian drone usage mentions retransmitting drones. Which seems like a form of aerial refueling in that it extends drone range. Exit question: Will Ukraine target Russia's rail transformers that power that crucial transportation network?

Air force effect and BDA. Also, I'm not saying small drones aren't useful for recon and as ammunition. But counter-measures will be developed. And the example provided of high American air losses over North Vietnam needing new weapons and tactics supports my view. Don't look for silver bullets.

Is no lie in the service of murderous, evil bastards too great for some to embrace and spread? Apparently not, although "the truth is that there are real concerns about possible near-term hunger and malnutrition in Gaza because Hamas steals aid, hoards food and medicine away from civilians, and punishes dissent."

When Russia is preoccupied getting punched in the face, it has little time to help anyone who thinks it is Russia's ally. Russia was a rising star until it revealed the dead-cat bounce behind the curtain. Oopsky.

The Sin Red Line. Tip to Instapundit.

Make it so: "Australia and the U.K. on Saturday signed a 50-year bilateral treaty furthering the two countries’ sharing of nuclear propulsion technology under the AUKUS agreement."

Maybe it would have been better to devote four decades of research to desalinization technology instead of building nukes: "Iranian president says country is on brink of dire water crisis[.]" I guarantee America and Israel wouldn't have bombed that research.

First line of defense: "India’s latest operational deployment to the South China Sea will feature its first joint patrol with the Philippines in the contested waters." India eases from Act East into Fight East. 

The Army is condemned for clinging to the past and not innovating. But when it quickly sheds helicopters in favor of new systems and weapons, it is condemned for the "pace and planning" of eliminating units--called "gutting". 

Their presence discouraged more rioting: "The Pentagon said Thursday it is ending the deployment of all but 250 National Guard troops that were originally sent to Los Angeles[.]" 

You'd think after Ukraine's dreadful experience trying to penetrate Russia's Surovikin Line in 2023 that Ukraine would have more of a sense of urgency about building fortifications

Putin's madrassas: get them young to send them to die young. And actual madrassas, too.

A back door effort to demote super carriers in a couple decades? "The decision to build the U.S. Air Force’s F-47 sixth-generation stealth fighter means cancelling the Navy’s F/A-XX combat." I've expected that demotion for a long time. But the F-35C is only just now entering the fleet. 

We have more MOPs, right? "Iran is conducting a covert operation to “kill and kidnap” people in the UK and US, the State Department has warned." 

If this enables Army units to quickly make and enact decisions on the battlefield, good! 

The German Question. It's a big shift in European thinking to wonder how Germany can defend Europe rather than threaten it. Can Germany shift? Can  other Europeans shift? Can the Russians shift to seeing Germany as an obstacle to Russian advances rather than the reverse? America needs to lead NATO.

Russian USVs will challenge NATO in the Baltic Sea? Stop the mania. Mine the Gulf of Finland and Kaliningrad's ports and deploy shore-based strike assets in support. That supposed silver bullet will be nipped in the bud.

I have my doubts that Saudi Arabia would want to have another go at a ground war with the Houthi

Advocating an American Central Asia strategy. The strategy should be helping Russia resist Chinese inroads to Russia's "near abroad" there if Russia stops its war on Ukraine and ends hostility toward NATO. Other than that, I don't want to dilute limited resources in that area with no reliable access.

This is because the European Union is not in fact a sovereign state! It's a proto-imperial body with ambitions to strip away the prefix. Do not go along with their ambition. Kill the EU. And revert it to a common market, I say.

This should boost Western drone production: "China has stopped selling Ukraine drones and drone components. Ukraine’s solution is to rely on increased production by its domestic drone manufacturers and obtaining more drones and parts from the United States and NATO countries." 

Russian chemical warfare.

Will Arab Gulf states led by Saudi Arabia rally to provide regional security that lifts the burden from America? Well, the hope in the 1970s that Iran would provide that security didn't work out so well for us. 

China's campaign to undermine Oceania spanning the second and third island chains in the Pacific. Japan advanced through it in 1941-1942 to threaten Australia-United States sea lines of communication.

Will America transfer wartime control of combined forces to South Korea, as long discussed? Will that end American control and risk being dragged into a war with crisis response controlled by South Korea? Does it hamper America using South Korea as a power projection platform? Walking away isn't free.

There is no clear evidence that Russia's nuclear submarine base in Kamchatka was significantly damaged by the recent earthquake-generated tsunami waves

Did fear of national-building lead Israel to avoid government-building? "Militarily, Hamas is barely functioning, but on the civilian level, they still control everything. The IDF should have taken control and used that to install alternative leadership." I had thoughts on that early in the war.

Europe worries about the Sickly Islamist Man of Europe. I had hoped we only had an Erdogan problem ... But since Turkey no longer has a land border with Russia, Erdogan can focus on imperial ambitions.

No! Way!!

Brits to Yanks: We don't need a written constitution to protect our rights like you simple colonials. Wait. What?

Anybody can describe a doomsday chain-of-events scenario of denying Hamas a Gaza state. Say, what if Hamas gets its state, manages to get a nuke from an admirer in Iran or Pakistan, puts it on a ship and sails it into an Israeli harbor or just anchors off Israel's coast when the wind is blowing just right? 

No level of Hamas evil is enough to shake the fervor of its Western supporters. As I wrote long ago, such people are honored to be jihadi victims. Tip to Instapundit.

I'm pretty sure it's just a verbal rebuke to Putin's Nuke Monkey: "President Donald Trump said on Friday he's ordered two nuclear submarines to move to the 'appropriate regions' in response to what he called 'highly provocative statements' from the deputy chair of Russia's security council, Dmitry Medvedev." 

Huh: "Refaim is the Israeli Defense Forces/IDF effort to apply new drone warfare weapons and techniques while gathering information on who the enemy is, where they are and what they can do. In the midst of all this, Refaim will coordinate attacks on detected targets from army, air force and naval units." Similar?

True, but "can" does a lot of work: "A war between NATO and Russia would be one- sided even without the Americans. European NATO nations can raise far more troops and equip them with more tanks, warplanes and warships than Russia can muster." How much can Russia take before its army culminates?

Oh? "The militant organization Hamas on Saturday said it would not disarm unless an independent Palestinian state is established." Define what a state means, please

How Pakistan ambushed an Indian Rafale fighter with capabilities India did not know about

Why is Western "leadership" in the Middle East defined as rewarding the perpetually evil and self-destructive Palestinians who will accept nothing less than future chances to joyfully dip their hands in the blood of Jewish victims? 

Saturday, August 02, 2025

Remember FPV Drone, Thou Art But a Weapon

The panty-flinging over small suicide drones will soon be officially embarrassing. 

This author writes that counter-measures being rushed into service will supplement existing tactics and equipment to end the reign of small, cheap suicide drone dominance. The drones will need to follow the path of air forces to be effective:

In many ways, AI-enabled UAS could mimic air force tactics developed soon after the invention of the combat aircraft. There would be intelligence gathering, attack and bomber drones for the forward battlefield, interceptors to warn of inbound attacks and fighter variants for aerial combat. Thus, AI-enabled drones will undoubtedly be a potent 21st century air force, augmenting, if not replacing, a human in the cockpit — a capability that’s dangerously inexpensive and no longer exclusive to nation states.

I wrote much the same, most recently in this post about the rise of counter-measures and the "brown sky" air campaigns mimicking the blue sky Air Force campaigns:

Indeed, the drones might fight low-level air campaigns in the "brown skies" just above forward combat units that look like "blue sky" Air Force campaigns with specialty drones for ground attack, recon, electronic warfare, intercepting enemy drones or protecting friendly drones, and maybe aerial refueling. You might even have recovery drones to pick up downed UAVs. 

The small drones aren't finished, the author writes. I agree. They will be one more piece of the combined arms kit

NOTE: TDR Winter War of 2022 coverage continues here.

NOTE: You may also like to read my posts on Substack, at The Dignified Rant: Evolved. Go ahead and subscribe to it. You know you want to. 

NOTE: I made the image with Bing.

Friday, August 01, 2025

Britain Bends the Knee to the Islamophobia Throne

Last month, Britain grudgingly conceded remembered the twentieth anniversary of the 7/7 terror attacks. In twenty more years on the current trajectory, there will a statue of a frightened Moslem child awaiting the dread British backlash.

In America, we went abroad to fight jihadis after September 11, 2001 to fight Islamist jihadis "over there" so we wouldn't have to fight them "over here." Britain started the fight "over here" and doesn't seem to have its heart in defeating the threat:

Today should not only be a day of remembrance, but also a timely reminder of the threat that continues to be posed by Islamist extremism – the principal terror threat the UK faces. Despite recent claims to the contrary, this is clearly borne out by the available data. The overwhelming majority of suspects on MI5’s terror watchlist are jihadists. The number of Islamist extremists on the watchlist – in the region of 40,000 – constitutes as many as one in a hundred Muslims in the UK. According to recent government figures, roughly two in three prisoners in custody for terrorism and terrorism-connected offences are Islamic extremists. 

Those are some effed up statistics for the members of the religion of peace seeking refuge from the horrors of their countries of origin.

Let me return to my old observation that Mark Steyn highlighted that applies to "better dead than rude" Britain even more than it applies to America:

After Sept. 11, 2001, many agonized progressives looked at America and its allies' relations with the Muslim world and argued that we need to ask ourselves: why do they hate us? As Brian Dunn, a Michigan blogger, put it, a more relevant question is: why do we hate us? After all, if all our institutions, from grade school to public broadcasting to Hollywood movies to Canadian "human rights" commissars, operate from the basic assumption that Western civilization is the font of racism, imperialism, oppression, exploitation and all the other ills of the world, why be surprised that the rest of humanity takes us at our word?

The Long War continues, though we pretend it is over. 

Worse, too many have inverted the victim status. To be clear, not all Moslems support terrorists. But by saying the terrorists have a reason to hate, we make it more difficult for Moslems to reject the Islamist ideology that motivates mass murder of Westerners. Which makes another Islamist murder spree just a matter of time.

Have a super sparkly day. 

NOTE: TDR Winter War of 2022 coverage continues here.

NOTE: You may also like to read my posts on Substack, at The Dignified Rant: Evolved. Go ahead and subscribe to it. You know you want to. 

NOTE: Photo from the BBC.

Thursday, July 31, 2025

The Israel-Iran Conflict is the Least of Central Asia's Worries

The notion that Central Asia is being buffeted by Israel-Iran hostility is nonsense given that factor is a rounding error for the major players of Russia and China.

Central Asian former "Stans" are in a difficult position

The five republics of the region—Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, and Turkmenistan—have increasingly pursued a strategy of multi-vector diplomacy, seeking to balance relations with competing major powers. Yet the escalating confrontation between Iran and Israel threatens to constrict the geopolitical space Central Asia has carefully carved out for itself.

Oh please, the region has to worry about Russia's need to maintain military dominance and  China's need to find land alternatives to vulnerable sea lines of communication for international trade colliding in their neighborhood. And the flag follows trade.  

UPDATE: Related thoughts

NOTE: TDR Winter War of 2022 coverage continues here.

NOTE: You may also like to read my posts on Substack, at The Dignified Rant: Evolved. Go ahead and subscribe to it. You know you want to.  

NOTE: I made the image with Bing.

Wednesday, July 30, 2025

Extend This Imagination to Wartime Threats

The Army effort to protect planes during take off and landing is laudable. But I'm still pounding my head in frustration.

Excellent!

ERDC is working on prototypes of unmanned ground vehicles, or UGVs, that can be deployed across airfields to scare off birds and other problematic wildlife that could do millions of dollars’ worth of damage, or even threaten aircrew lives by flying into the engine. 

Now do protection against special forces.

Or small drone attacks.

Or any other sort of attack.

Carry on.

NOTE: TDR Winter War of 2022 coverage continues here.

NOTE: You may also like to read my posts on Substack, at The Dignified Rant: Evolved. Go ahead and subscribe to it. You know you want to.  

NOTE: Photo from the article.