Wednesday, December 28, 2016

The Turkey Realignment?

Turkey is working with Russia on a ceasefire for Syria:

Turkey and Russia have reportedly agreed on a draft nationwide ceasefire in Syria, the Turkish state-run news agency Anadolu said Wednesday.

Which serves to save Assad. Which grants Russia and Iran (who are allies at the moment) influence and bases in Syria. Which is bad for a Turkey that opposes historical foes Russia and Iran. Which means Turkey is essentially submitting to Russian power and turning against Europe (and NATO and the EU).

Which potentially secures the Turkish straits for Russian use to project power from their Crimea base complexes into the eastern Mediterranean Sea where Russia has bases.

Let's hope the Spanish, French, Italian, and Greek NATO navies are in decent shape.

Ah, the joys of "tame" Islamist governance that the Obama administration thought Turkey could demonstrate with the right American support.