Thursday, June 29, 2023

Resistance Theater Over Ukraine?

Ukraine's survival in the face of Russia's invasion is because Biden lost the Afghanistan campaign. 

Seriously. While America's defeat in Afghanistan may have taught Putin that America will retreat with hardly any pressure, Biden learned that he couldn't lose another country on his watch.

I warned about this

The image of the sudden and shocking collapse of our ally Afghanistan, which ends our ability to fight jihadis in that part of the world, will no doubt convince enemies that they too can jump on the desiccated corpse of our resolve to achieve their objectives. And worry allies that they can't count on our support. ...

[In] an effort to repair America's reputation left in tatters by this debacle, America will react on a hair trigger to a threat and react strongly against a potential enemy threatening us, an ally, or a friend.

Well, when Putin invaded Ukraine, Biden knew he had to at least look like he was showing resolve to prevent the loss. Sending a few billion dollars of Stingers and Javelins to a country our military said would fold within days must have seemed like a good investment in Biden's image, eh? 

Biden could say he tried. But like our Afghan friends, the Ukrainians could not stop the bad guys despite the weapons we sent. 

#TooBadForUkraineButBidenStrong. 

Biden then got stuck between Ukraine's successful resistance and his own party's sudden and enthusiastic anti-Russian fervor. Welcome to the party, pal

At this point I worry that Biden knows he made the good effort and now can escape his commitment with the support of some Republican isolationists and some Democratic pacifists. Especially if he can blame giving up on Republicans alone.

Let's win this one. 

NOTE: TDR Winter War of 2022 continues here.