October 3, 2005: Kuwait has been the main logistics base for American operations in Iraq, containing, at its peak, 30 bases and 20,000 American troops. But the logistics operations have been streamlined over the last year, allowing a reduction to 12 bases and 12,000 American troops. Another major reduction will take place when the “pre-Iraq” training new troops receive in Kuwait is reduced from 45 days to less than 30. There are more places in Iraq where some of this “familiarization” training can be given, and many troops coming in are returning from previous tours in Iraq. They don’t need as much of the familiarization training, especially since training back in the United States has become much more targeted for troops headed for Iraq or Afghanistan.
Lately, the Iranians seem to be willing to make more problems for the British whose thin troop presence in the south is the only real force capable of taking on the Iranians if they come across the border. Is Basra our new Ardennes?
I'm glad we are reducing forces there. I wonder if the Kuwaitis could hold off--or at least slow down--another suprise offensive? In 1990 they weren't up to it when the Iraqis struck. Have things changed in fifteen years?
I still think Iran is playing to win in Iraq. If the Shias remain unresponsive to Tehran's calls for Shia solidarity (under Persian guidance, of course) the only card Tehran will have left is to pull the trigger overtly and invade Iraq. The mullahs might think the shock will drive us from the Middle East.
I sure hope we act first.
