Wednesday, January 28, 2026

The Limits of Magical Thinking

Stop flinging panties at suicide sea drones!

The panty flinging at suicide UAVs and USVs has got to stop:

American military analysts believe that the successful Ukrainian use of airborne and naval drones against Russia in the Black Sea provides a realistic solution to the problems Taiwan faces in defending itself against an attack by the Chinese navy.  

Perhaps Taiwan can incorporate sea drones to defend their island. But the example of Ukraine for Taiwan is dangerously wrong:

Anybody who says Ukraine's success against Russia's Black Sea Fleet should cause China to worry about what Taiwan could do ignores that Ukraine has inflicted this damage over 25 months. Taiwan would need to inflict multiples of that damage in 25 hours.

But we've seen this mania before. Stop before someone gets hurt--and conquered.

NOTE: TDR Winter War of 2022 coverage continues here

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