Wednesday, November 12, 2025

To the Shores of Venezuela. To the Halls of Maduro?

Is regime change the goal of America's military deployment near Venezuela? I speculated in Substack about a limited mission for American forces facing Maduro in Venezuela. I should expand on that.

Could American Marines deployed in the Caribbean (basically a Marine battalion reinforced with ground and air assets) be used to seize one of Venezuela’s islands in order to allow a rival government to establish a capital on Venezuelan soil? Ideally, Venezuelan rebels rise up on one of the islands, America recognizes the government, and then lands Marines to defend it. With naval and air power behind it.

Not sure what that would achieve. Give momentum to resistance to Maduro? Provide legal avenues in American and/or international law to undermine Maduro? Does it support a bigger covert plan? Would the Marines then be used to secure the American embassy that is still active with local employees?

I'm sure we don't want a full war. A short, limited war is nice work, if you can get it, as the saying goes.  

So I can't help but think this is a distraction for the real strike on Hezbollah, which no doubt has assets in Venezuela. Iran certainly has assets in the region. Settling down the Middle East is vitally important to prevent problems; and Hezbollah has a logistics tail in the Americas that operates even if America squeezes broke Iran's aid to Hezbollah. With America looking for additional basing options, where is the objective?

Or maybe all is as it seems. Perhaps this will be an enhanced Bay of Pigs operation (there are a lot of Venezuelan refugees in America in addition to the gang members Maduro sent here) in which America doesn't unleash the regime change and then abandon the tip of the spear at the last minute. 

Still, the forces that sustain Maduro now might simply shape his replacement in his image. Can we address that problem even if we succeed in Caracas? 

UPDATE: Last night my statistics indicated a hit in the Chinese language from Venezuela on this post about unleashing robots against civilians in a Tienanmen Square-type crisis.

What's up with that? 

NOTE: TDR Winter War of 2022 coverage continues here.

NOTE: You may also like to read my posts on Substack, at The Dignified Rant: Evolved. Go ahead and subscribe to it. It's the right thing to do! 

NOTE: Map from https://besthotelshome.com/map-of-venezuela-venezuela-flag-facts-and-places-to-visit/