Monday, January 21, 2013

Crawl, Walk, Run, War

In the face of provocative Chinese actions over control of the Senkakus, Japan may authorize a show of force to persuade Chinese aircraft to leave Japanese air space:

"Every country has procedures for how to deal with a violation of its territory that continues after multiple cautionary measures," Japanese Defense Minister Itsunori Onodera said Wednesday when asked if tracer shots would be fired against intruding aircraft that refuse to change course. "We have response measures ready that are consistent with global standards."

Onodera said the use of warning shots has long been provided for under Japan's defense policies and is widely accepted under international rules of engagement. Japan's air force has not actually resorted to them since 1987 — against a Soviet aircraft — and none were fired last week.

The next step might be to authorize radar locks to show they are serious.

There are more steps after that. But those steps are messy.