America counts on a short war if China invades Taiwan. So does China. We should be careful what we wish for.
America and China, for their own reasons, want a short but victorious war over Taiwan*:
Considering these factors, planning for a short, sharp war provides a baseline that reflects current political considerations and what both parties would likely attempt to achieve. However, an exclusive focus on such a scenario risks overlooking how quickly a conflict can expand, protract, or shift.
Yes, enemies vote and sh*t happens. Which makes getting a short war the hard part.
China can throw an army across the Taiwan Strait. And I worry that China could exploit the mutual need for a short war to get a victory that America won't even recognize, as I warned about in Military Review.
*And wow! The article had a picture of old Army M60A2 tanks with 155mm ATGM-firing guns! Don't know why. But neat.
NOTE: TDR Winter War of 2022 coverage continues here.
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NOTE: I made the image with Bing.
