Twelve years ago my basic advice to the Ukrainians should the Russian full invade was to preserve their army, send body bags back to Russia, and strike Sevastopol, the base Russia started the war in 2014 to secure by taking over Crimea.
Head on over to Substack for the essay. I decided to put the essay there from now on. But you can always get the link here on TDR.
NOTE: ISW updates continue here.
NOTE: Also, I put war-related links and commentary in the Weekend Data Dump on Substack. You may read my posts on Substack, at The Dignified Rant: Evolved.
