Tuesday, September 29, 2026

Don't Be Hasty in Drawing Univeral Lessons From Ukraine

Drones have an unusually large effect in the Winter War of 2022 because of the static nature of the front.

Drones got rushed into service in the artillery shell shortage as the only type of ammunition that Ukraine could get. First dropping grenades and then suicide drones. They have proven crucial to slowing down the Russians to a crawl and inflicting heavy casualties. But their role cannot just be cut and pasted into other armies.

Seriously, a static front amplifies drone capabilities: 

In parts of the thousand-kilometer front line, there are bunkers that have been in use for months or years. In quiet parts of the front, drone teams spend most of their time doing surveillance, with the occasional call for an attack drone. When new operators gain enough experience in their quiet zones, they are sent to more active areas to do their thing.

I've felt that way for a long time. Get the front moving and drone teams don't have their sanctuary to learn their trade and to simply survive under cover and concealment. 

NOTE: TDR Winter War of 2022 coverage continues here.

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NOTE: I made the image with Bing.