Sunday, November 21, 2010

Telegraphing an Incident

Japan will send troops to occupy an island southwest of those claimed by China:

The plan is to send 100 troops to Yonaguni, about 110 km east of Taiwan and 160 km southwest of disputed East China Sea islets called Diaoyu in China and Senkaku in Japan.
China is likely to be angered. But there is one problem with Japan's plan:

But it wouldn't take effect until 2014 at the earliest, the newspaper said without giving an explanation.

Japan just gave notice to China that they can occupy the island, if they decide to contest the Japanese decision, any time up to 2013 and be the one with boots on the ground there, and thus be the one defending the de facto status quo.

Japan would have been better advised to announce their plan after the first troops disembark.