Wednesday, July 02, 2008

When Plans Fail

The Left likes to insist that we played into Osama bin Laden's deep plan by attacking him in Afghanistan and flailing about in Iraq.

Well, we certainly gave al Qaeda what it said it wanted. But al Qaeda didn't like what it got. And the enemy is looking for another sure-fire strategy to create the caliphate:

SINCE 9/11, Islamist terror movements have been debating grand strategy. Osama bin Laden had theorized that the "infidel," led by the United States, would crumble after a series of spectacular attacks, just as the Meccan "infidel" government did when the Prophet Muhammad launched deadly raids against its trade routes. Yet the 9/11 attacks didn't lead to an "infidel" retreat. On the contrary, the "Great Satan" hit back hard.

That persuaded some al Qaeda leaders that a new strategy of smaller, slower but steadier attacks was needed. Ayman al-Zawahiri, al Qaeda's No. 2, has advocated such a strategy since 2003, arguing that the jihad should first target Muslim countries where it has a chance of toppling the incumbent regimes.

Now Naji takes that analysis a step further - suggesting that low-intensity war be extended to anywhere in the world with a significant Muslim presence.

Islamists in the "wilderness" must create parallel societies alongside existing ones, Naji says - but not set up formal governments, which would be subject to economic pressure or military attack.

These parallel societies could resemble "liberated zones" set up by Marxist guerrillas in parts of Latin America in the last century. But they could also exist within cities, under the very noses of the authorities - operating as secret societies with their own rules, values and enforcement.


Let a thousand Lebanons bloom, eh?

Will it work? Who knows? But the last strategy that we "fell for" that was bound to "just create more terrorists" didn't work so well for the Islamo-fascists.