A Spasm and Not a Jihad

Al Qaeda's declaration of war on Iraq may be no more than a desperate effort to dislocate Pakistan's cooperation with us and Afghan forces in hammering al Qaeda. (Tip to Instapundit)

Indeed, we may have just missed getting bin Laden in August inside Afghanistan (this certainly assumes he's not dead already).

Apparently, reports in the summer that al Qaeda had abandoned a bunch of camps in Pakistan reflected an al Qaeda fear we were about to JDAM them into splinters, were correct. The reports, that is. I have no idea if we were really going to hammer the camps.

So as a result, they fled into Afghanistan. And we hit them there. Hard.

This doesn't paint the global jihad "reconstituting" in Pakistan in a very good light.