Are Europeans worrying too much about Russia's conventional threat given that Russia has been unable to overwhelm much smaller Ukraine after more than 4-1/2 years of war? Maybe that level of threat is inconceivable in the near term. But perhaps Europeans collectively just aren't as good as Ukraine.
Yes, Russia’s military is wounded:
Russia’s special operation in Ukraine has left many analysts skeptical about whether Russia is brazen enough to launch an attack on a NATO member state, even if it were limited. They argue that the Ukraine war has left Russia bogged down and ill-equipped to open another front. But make no mistake, the operation in Ukraine has not paralyzed Russia. The Kremlin is ready to mobilize hundreds of thousands of additional troops and continues to stockpile drones and other munitions. Time is of the essence, and European nations must respond by addressing glaring military deficiencies and mentally preparing their populations for the possibility of war.
I'm not saying Russia could advance to the Rhine River. But empires aren't built in one campaign. So don’t dismiss Russia's capacity to wage war on Europeans. Especially if they are weak and atomized. America really should stay in NATO to maintain focused unity.
War is a contest of relative power. How are Europeans doing?
NOTE: TDR Winter War of 2022 coverage continues here.
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NOTE: I made the image with Bing.
