Wednesday, July 22, 2026

The Great Nicobar Dilemma

If China manages to resolve its Malacca Dilemma for maintaining sea lines of communication through the Indian Ocean, there is another dilemma.

The Malacca Dilemma has a partner

India’s Great Nicobar project has been in the news for the last few weeks. The project blends port development, civilian infrastructure, and military strategy. ...

The Strait of Malacca is a lifeline for East Asia’s energy and economic flows. The Chinese strategists have long debated the ‘Malacca Dilemma’. Beijing has made efforts such as the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) and China-Myanmar Economic Corridor (CMEC) to reduce dependence on the Malacca and access the Indian Ocean via alternative routes. The Great Nicobar project solidifies India’s strategic position near the entrance of the Malacca Strait. 

I’ve noted the importance of this island chain for a long time.

Although China might have a military option that India would be hard pressed to fully cope with. Still, India has a defensive geographic advantage for a full-scale war.

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NOTE: Map from the article.