Saturday, August 29, 2020

System Change?

Are internal shifts about to change China and is a change in Belarus' status going to change Europe?

The assumption of the world has been that Europe is obsessed with economics and indifferent to geopolitics. The assumption about China is that it has become a great power and challenger to the United States. My view is that Europe has been on vacation from history, and that it will end, and that China’s pretense to power is unsustainable. If we were to hit the jackpot with two of the global centers of power changing their behavior, then the world would indeed change.

Interesting. I tend to agree with the author on both points--at least as far as the odds of those things, even if I don't have certainty for outcome or just timing.

How does that play out?

Let me add for fun that Europe is a geographic term that wants to be a single political entity. And China is a single political entity that could be a geographic term.

I'm hoping geography wins in both contests.