This brief survey demonstrates why Israel's military option against Iran's nuclear program is so unattractive, but also why failing to act is even worse. All these scenarios become infinitely more dangerous once Iran has deliverable nuclear weapons. So does daily life in Israel, elsewhere in the region and globally.
I'd be happy if we get lucky over Iran. But can we count on getting lucky before Iran gets nuclear weapons?
And if we can't, shouldn't we consider what we could do to strike Iran in a thorough campaign rather than relying on a less effective Israeli strike?