Friday, January 20, 2006

Unclear on the Concept

As I've read over the years in the debate over Iran, some opponents of doing anything but trying to bribe the mullahs of Iran into giving up nuclear weapons (a futile hope, I believe) like to argue that Iran reasonably wants nukes to deter enemies such as America.

Kurtz notes a post at Winds of Change about invading Iran that assumes, like he does, that Iran already has nukes it begged, borrowed, or stole; and is now just trying to get the means to produce them on their own:

At Winds of Change, Tom Holsinger makes a sobering and powerful case for invading Iran. (HT Glenn Reynolds). Holsinger’s case is an extraordinary read. What stands out most is his conviction that the Iranians may already have a few bombs made through purchases of nuclear material (or perhaps whole devices) from Korea. If so, this confirms what I’ve been saying about Iraq for some time. (See my Corner post “Preempting WMD’s.”)

So, Iran wants nukes for deterrence and has secretly acquired some. If so, I would like to pose Dr. Strangelove's question:

Of course, the whole point of a Doomsday Machine is lost, if you *keep* it a *secret*! Why didn't you tell the world, EH?

Even the Israelis let it be known they have them for deterrence. Hell, the Iraqis deliberately let it be assumed they had a nuke program far more advanced than it was in 2003. But the Iranians have a secret "deterrent"?

If Iran has nukes, they sure as heck don't want them to deter anybody.