Can America and its allies repeat Ukraine's success in the Black Sea? I'm going to want a full review of the Definitions Section.
This author highlights a problem with praising Ukraine's anti-ship usage in the Black Sea:
One of the greatest challenges to using shore-based missile sites is finding and targeting the enemy. In the case of the Moskva, weather conditions allowed Ukraine to detect and target the ship on radar. Ukrainian forces also asked the United States to confirm the target, which suggests they lack the capability to correlate radar tracks with valid enemy targets.
Yeah, that targeting is rarely mentioned.
Anybody who says Ukraine's success against Russia's Black Sea Fleet should cause China to worry about what Taiwan could do ignores that Ukraine has inflicted this damage over 25 months. Taiwan would need to inflict multiples of that damage in 25 hours.
While America should be able to link scattered coastal batteries in the Western Pacific with the detection and targeting capabilities it and allies used to help Ukraine, there are limits to Ukraine as an example for defending Taiwan.
Further, Ukraine's anti-ship assets were on the mainland and not on islands subject to isolation by Chinese air and naval power.
By all means learn from the Black Sea campaign. But try not to go all fanboy on what Ukraine achieved with suicide unmanned surface vessels.
NOTE: TDR Winter War of 2022 coverage continues here.
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NOTE: Photo from the initial article.
