China in its new national defense white paper says that it "will never allow anyone, any organization, and any political party at any time in any form to split any piece of Chinese territory".
That is specifically intended for Taiwan and Hong Kong, but it seems like that its biggest application is against Russia.
"Anyone" might include China's lapdog Russia (which Russia conceals by being such hostile jerks to the West), wouldn't it? That's a large piece of territory that Russia split from China in the 19th century, no?
A China reeling from internal and external pressure might want a short and glorious war to demonstrate their prowess; and signal their rise to the world stage as a significant actor.
And Russia might fit the bill for that, even if China doesn't try to reclaim their territory by force and only signals their determination to get it back eventually.
Right now Russia and China are allies--or at least friendly. But at what point does a weakening Russia become more of a liability than an ally for China? Might China figure that they don't want their own Italy to pull a 1943 defection from the Axis to the Allies on Russia's terms at a time that does maximum damage to China?