And the key is that in the long run, America won't fight beyond this administration:
According to this analysis, spelled out in commentaries by Ahmadinejad's strategic guru, Hassan Abassi, known as the "Dr Kissinger of Islam", President George W Bush is an aberration, an exception to a rule under which all American presidents since Truman, when faced with serious setbacks abroad, have "run away". Iran's current strategy, therefore, is to wait Bush out. And that, by "divine coincidence", corresponds to the time Iran needs to develop its nuclear arsenal, thus matching the only advantage that the infidel enjoys.
Funny how our enemies don't think that we are ineffective under this administration. Funny how their concept of real security counts on somebody else commanding our strategy and forces. I guess our war effort isn't as ineffective as the critics of this administration now charge.
Iran will make cosmetic changes to appear to back down from their nuclear ambitions to run out the clock until 2008, under this theory. I remain confident that Iran will be unable to avoid provoking us into action if we aren't already on the path to dealing with the Iranian regime regardless of their words.
And in the end, the Iranians won't have a unifed Moslem world behind them; we will have enough allies with us to win; and most importantly, we don't actually count on our young people being willing to die--just being willing to fight and kill our enemies. When it comes to a fight, Iran's strategy will rely on far more of their ability to die than we will--we will just kill them in droves. During the Iran-Iraq War, against an Iraqi military unable to kill in the numbers we can inflict, Iran's willingness to die for Islam faltered and their 1980s jihad ended without achieving their goals that time.
Man, their war planning purely sucks.
