Shall We Just Read Entrails?

You know, after the 2012 election experience, when internal details of pre-election polls seemed to indicate that the poll bottom line of President Obama's lead was not accurate, I vowed to pay attention to the bottom lines and not the internals that gave false hope.

And then we had the 2014 mid-terms polling-outcomes mis-match.

For some reason, this seems appropriate:



So I await the autopsy. Is it a mid-term versus general election thing? Something else?

Would it be better to make our predictions this way?



Pray to the Times. Reid will fall. Trust not in voters. Honor the polls! Honor the press corps pride!

Actually, I think that is an actual staff meeting at Vox.