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Thursday, January 19, 2023

If Only the Czar Knew!

Apparently, Putin's advisors told him his military couldn't easily take down Ukraine, that the economy would suffer, and that the world would not shrug and go along. But Putin knew better.

This is different from what I thought was more general top-level ignorance in Russia about invading Ukraine

Russian leader Vladimir Putin ordered the invasion despite advice from his military, diplomatic and economic advisors that it was a bad idea.

I thought the problem in Russia was that good information wasn't reaching the top, as China seems to suffer from. But accurate information was presented to Putin. 

Sadly for Ukraine, Europe, and even the Russian people, Putin just knew better. He ordered his military to improve and after twenty years he figured it must be awesome.  

How is it possible to deter or influence a foreign leader who refuses to listen to bad news?

NOTE: Winter War of 2022 coverage continues here.