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Wednesday, August 03, 2011

The End of the Road?

If Libya was waging economic warfare on Italy to drive them from the coalition waging war on Khaddafi's Libya, this would have to be called a success:

Yields on benchmark 10-year Spanish and Italian bonds peaked at 6.45 per cent and 6.25 per cent, respectively. The premiums Madrid and Rome pay to borrow over Germany also reached new euro-era highs of 404 and 384 basis points. Both the yields and premiums are close to levels that pushed Greece, Ireland and Portugal into bail-outs.

The continent-wide Euro may die at the end of this road. And if Libya's economic problems are too much to afford a war of choice based from Italian soil, the Libya War could take a crippling hit that will allow Khaddafi to survive.

UPDATE: While geographically essential for waging an air war (air bases just north of Libya), Italy has always been shaky on participating in the Libya War. I have to believe that a financial crisis could shake them right out of the coalition.