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Thursday, August 21, 2008

Recruiting Tools

I've said it before, Russia is NATO's best recruiter.

And while the Russians may have hoped their invasion of Georgia would demonstrate Russian military power and intimidate their neighbors into submission, that didn't happen:

They live in a historically battered region between West and East, the Rhine and the Volga, Berlin and Moscow. Now, as Russian tanks rumble in Georgia, the states of "new Europe" are urging the West to rethink its relationship with Russia and are pushing for new security and strong measures against an aggressive Moscow they say they know all too well.

From Poland to Ukraine, the Czech Republic to Bulgaria, Russia's invasion of Georgia with tanks, troops, and planes is described as a test of Western resolve. The former Soviet states are vowing to thwart Russian aims – in deals with the European Union, in a missile-defense pact with the US, and in trade and diplomacy.


And even the Georgians are not submitting to Russia's intimidation:

Senator John McCain may have overstated things a bit when, shortly after the war started, he said, “We are all Georgians now.” But apparently even rank-and-file Russian soldiers view the Georgians and Americans as allies. Likewise, these simple Georgian country women seem to understand who their friends and enemies are. “I am very thankful to the West,” Maya said as her eyes welled up with tears. “They support us so much. We thought we were alone. I am so thankful for the support we have from the United States and from the West. The support is very important for us.” She tried hard to maintain her dignity and not cry in front of me, a foreign reporter in fresh clothes and carrying an expensive camera. “The West saved the capital. They were moving to Tbilisi. There was one night that was very dangerous. The Russian tanks were very close to the capital. I don’t know what happened, but they moved the tanks back.” And my translator, whose husband works for Georgia’s ministry of foreign affairs, made a similar guess that the West helped save the capital. “The night they came close to Tbilisi,” she said, “Bush and McCain made their strongest speeches yet. The Russians seemed to back down. Bush and McCain have been very good for us.”


The Russians forget that they no longer have the power of the Soviet Union to intimidate neighbors.

Note, too, that the Russians see this as a proxy struggle against us. Even if we do nothing, we are seen as the real target. So if Georgia falls, we lose and Russia wins in the minds of Russia.

So we might as well win this. First, get the Russians out of Georgia. Then rebuild the Georgian defenses. Because the Russians are just a bunch of tools these days.