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Sunday, July 10, 2022

Weekend Data Dump

Iran likes to boast of non-existent wonder weapons. Here's another.

The T-72, its modifications, and whatever the heck Iran is doing with them.

Ukraine rebuilds its navy. And yes, Ukraine did reoccupy Snake Island.

Russia is continuing the war rather than declaring victory. Ukraine has inflicted losses and purchased time. Has the West sent enough to allow Ukraine to exploit those achievements?

Putin seems to have ordered an operational pause after taking Luhansk province. Yet Russian forces continue to attack. Ukraine is striking deeper into Russian rear areas with new weapons. I wonder if that will provoke Russia into premature resumption of a ground offensive--if they even actually pause.

Destroy NATO (to build a future, perfect alliance, naturally) because opposing Russia isn't grand enough? I'm so old I remember when the lack of a unifying threat was proof NATO should be ended. Nobody ever gets their perfection after destroying the imperfect that offends them. Some people just want to see NATO burn.

Ukraine speaks of bleeding Russia's army and exploiting that to liberate territory in the south. Ukraine can't wait too long to do that. Can Ukraine prepare before Russia repairs its army enough to hold its gains?

I reject this kind of Decline Porn. Even aside from rejecting most of his litany of failure. Russia is declining. China is peaking. India is stalled. The proto-imperial European Union is weak and fragile. Who replaces America?

Our Navy command structure sank one of our capital ships. This shocks ... who?

Is Putin going to shift to taking Odessa? We'll see if the Ukrainian counter-offensive there begins first. Or if Donetsk province is easier to shift to because the Russian troops are already on that front.

As naval surveillance systems proliferate, a sensor-strike net will bring down the naval behemoths.

Suppressing actual or potential dissent in Russia.

A South Korean defense agency supports 20 more F-35As.

A Stryker brigade will rotate through South Korea instead of a tank brigade--which will leave its equipment in South Korea. Makes sense with higher demand for tank brigades in Europe.

Who goes where on NATO's eastern front.

From the Euro "Well, Duh" files.

I'm so old I remember when our intellectual and moral superiors in the Biden administration said the Taliban 2.0 would be reasonable and eager to get the approval of the sainted international community.

The multi-faceted campaign for Kherson.

Ukraine can defeat the Russian army and win the war if the West sufficiently backs Ukraine. I certainly expected Russia to grind out an expensive win before the West could even decide to support Ukraine. But Putin screwed up. And even with a retooled and narrow offensive, Russia is taking heavy casualties to make its slow advances. Talk like this threatens to be a self-fulfilling prophecy. Let's not panic "face the facts" and force Ukraine to lose. Russia may hold Ukrainian territory when this is over. Minimizing that is an important objective. Whatever that turns out to be, if enough Russian troops die achieving it Russia might shrink from invading again much as Finland survived after being defeated by Russia in 1940.

The Congressional Research Service report to Congress on Ukraine's military performance.

I certainly hope Ukraine can knock the damn thing down.

Congratulations. And good luck with an aggressive China so close. FFS, the Philippines isn't "squarely on the frontlines of Great Power competition between the U.S. and China." The Philippines is the frontline of China's subliminal push to annex Filipino territory. How long can the new Marcos pretend he can negotiate away the push?

Interesting. Are we really sending too many people to prison when in the past the vast categories of people who are now in prison would have been held in other institutions not called "prisons"? Tip to Instapundit.

Yes, the federal bureaucracy is too powerful. Many years ago, Michigan had JCAR, a bicameral legislative committee that had to approve agency administrative rules. Often, agencies withdrew rules to address JCAR concerns that they did not reflect the statutes as enacted. So there were few proposed rules rejected. A record some used to wrongly claim the committee was just a needless rubber stamp. Somehow the Michigan Supreme Court ruled the process unconstitutional as a "legislative veto." Which always seemed ridiculous to me. But I'm not a lawyer.

American recruiting problems. Get woke, get broke defeated.

Russian brutality is stiffening Western resolve to help Ukraine defeat Russia.

Former Japanese prime minister Abe was assassinated. He began rearming and was a good friend to America.

With Russia forced to focus on Ukraine and Turkey under financial pressure, does Libya have chance? With an assist from the UAE.

Prime Minister Johnson resigned. He got goofy on domestic policies. But he finished Brexit (I hope). And was strong on Ukraine.

America’s new ICBM design runs into a problem.

Russia is in an operational pause to repair ground forces. But that doesn’t mean all quiet on the Russian front.

Defending Guam. And projecting power from it, of course.

January 6th: THE MUSICAL.

Americas is sending four more HIMARS and 155mm ammo, among other things, to Ukraine.

France to increase its defense budget.

Yeah, I worry less about Chinese carriers than other vessels. The Chinese carriers might be red herrings for a distracting SINKEX.  

More? How about "any?" So far I've only seen evidence that the J6 Democrats and their goodlife "Republicans" are delusional.

Week in Pictures.

Covid is now basically no more lethal than the usual flu viruses.

Conservatives celebrate America on July 4th even though only the Supreme Court and toeholds in higher education and the news media are friendly. Leftists control nearly everything and couldn't celebrate July 4th.


From the joint working group on the bloody obvious.


Japan can build warships. Why can’t America do a good job?

Gulf of Mexico pirates. What fresh Hell is this, now?

I don’t think Putin’s army can cash the check he’s writing.

One hates to say it, but by fighting so hard for Luhansk province Ukraine has given Russia a huge repair job.

Russia's offensive worked at all because of its massive artillery use. Is the U.S. Army paying attention?

"Green" EVs

Consider that some portion of those who disapprove of Biden's performance do so because they think he hasn't been leftist enough.