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Wednesday, May 26, 2021

It's a Super Sparkly Opportunity!

The idea that a new nuclear deal with Iran is in America's interest because it will help Iran "keep Russia and China at bay" is so monumentally stupid that I have trouble accepting that sentient beings wrote that.

This is something special in the annals of bizarre reasoning:

Reviving the nuclear deal will loosen the grip of [China and Russia] on Tehran. Factions within Iran’s political system would then become less amenable to foreign pressure and more mindful of Iran’s geopolitical autonomy.

Reviving the horrible Iran nuclear deal will not change Iran's hatred of America, Israel, and the West. The original deal enabled Iran to act on that hatred with more money notwithstanding the Obama administration's laughable reassurances that under the deal Iran wouldn't "dramatically" increase their funding for aggression. Russia and China will continue to supply arms and Security Council protection to Iran if a new deal is signed. In what world of the sane is American sales of weapons or American money in trade that enabled that aggression anew somehow a good thing?

And the deal required its deal partners to assist Iran in nuclear technology. The authors point out that Iran has demonstrated advances since Trump pulled America out of the deal. But that doesn't condemn the ending of the deal. That requires you to believe Iran went from zero to nuke in a couple years. The fact is that the deal simply allowed us to pretend Iran wasn't working under the cover of the deal to advance their nuclear technology and production capacity. Explain to me why the 2015 deal didn't actually roll back Iran's nuclear technology?

The authors include this gem, "The Iran nuclear deal was an arms control agreement designed to abridge Tehran’s nuclear ambitions." 

The primary definition of "abridge" is to "shorten the length of" or "condense". The 2015 nuclear deal absolutely shortened the path to an Iranian nuclear arsenal by protecting Iran's facilities from attack as it gains nuclear missile technology and manufacturing capabilities.

You know a new deal will be no better no matter how much the authors fluff up how great a new and improved deal could be. 

Rather than cut short Iran's nuclear ambitions, a new deal will just mean Iran goes back to working on nukes quietly without telling us all the dangerous things they are doing. And we'll pretend this is Smart Diplomacy. Let's not live in Nuclear Fantasyland.

Have a super sparkly day.