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Thursday, February 13, 2020

Iran's Interest in the Region

Israel has been hitting Iranian assets in Syria all along without prompting a "crushing response," so what's up with this warning by Iran's Foreign Ministry?

"The Islamic Republic of Iran will give a crushing response that will cause regret to any kind of aggression or stupid action from this regime against our country's interests in Syria and the region," ministry spokesman Abbas Mousavi said.

Is Iran really worried about elsewhere in the "region" like Lebanon where Hezbollah, the crown jewel of Iran's foreign legion of Arabs willing to fight to the death for Iran, is located?

Because Hezbollah is a target I've long thought Israel is preparing to hit hard:

I've long speculated that Israel will deal with the Hezbollah threat by mounting a multi-division, multi-month raid that pushes deep into Lebanon to uproot Hezbollah and really tear them a new one.

That's what my larger plan would be. Who knows if Israel thinks that the lesson of the 2006 war is that they have to improve their aerial attack capabilities.

But I've been wrong for a long time on that issue.