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Sunday, November 05, 2017

The Prodigal Ally?

Yes, kicking Turkey out of NATO would be a mistake:

This [friction between America and Turkey] has led some U.S. critics to wonder whether NATO might be better off without Turkey as a member. That is a foolish thought. Rather, as we confront the lowest point in U.S.-Turkish relations in a generation, we need to think through a meaningful strategy for bringing this crucial partner back into the fold. What should the U.S. and its NATO allies do?

It is better to have an imperfect ally than an enemy we can rely on to be an enemy by pushing Turkey to side with Russia and Iran.

Work the problem. Take precautions to limit any damage Turkey can do to NATO by being an imperfect ally (I'd remove our nukes from Turkey). By all means do that.

But if there is to be a break, make sure that it is Erdogan's choice and done despite our best efforts to restore Turkey as a reliable NATO ally.

Work the problem.

And if Turkey does leave NATO, recognize reality and move Turkey to CENTCOM's portfolio.

UPDATE: Harsh words from NATO if Turkey goes Russian on air defense:

A top NATO official has warned of “necessary consequences” for Turkey should the alliance member purchase a Russian air-defense system.

I sure hope Turkey is getting a simpler version of the F-35 to guard against loss of security about that plane's full capabilities.

But NATO states still sell to Turkey:

Turkey on Wednesday signed a letter of intent opening the way to Ankara buying ground to air missiles from a French-Italian consortium.

Turkey is still mostly an ally. Which is something, I guess.