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Tuesday, September 04, 2012

The Poor, Bloody, Infantry

Syria will either show it can mobilize enough troops to fight the war or show it can't get the numbers it needs. They can't or won't rely on air power or chemical weapons to win their war against the majority of the Syrian people.

This is pretty much the game. Can Syria provide relief for exhausted troops in a fight for their life?

Syria is calling up former soldiers from the reserves to active army service in growing numbers, a sign of the strain of efforts to crush the 17-month-old revolt against President Bashar al-Assad.

Several fleeing reservists and a serving army officer told Reuters that thousands of men had been called up in the past two months to bolster the 300,000 strong army, and many of them are failing to report for duty. ...

One army officer contacted in Homs said he believed that only half of those called up in recent months had reported for duty, although it was not possible to verify that figure or ascertain whether other units had experienced similar levels of reservists failing to report.

The officer said many units had suffered heavy losses battling rebels.

"There is a shortage of men. A lot of fighters have been killed, and we have desertions," he said by telephone, sighing.

But thousands over several months isn't even a major test of their reserve system. And even if it works, Assad needs tens of thousands if not hundreds of thousands to have a chance of winning.