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Tuesday, December 23, 2008

It's Beginning to Look a Lot Like Victory

I've been stubborn in refusing to declare victory in Iraq. I've seen lulls before--though not this long--that turned out to be transitions in phases of the war rather than the end.

But this news is certainly an indication that we might be in a post-V-Day period:

Iraq suffered an average of 180 attacks per day this time last year. But over the past week, the average number was 10, Army Brig. Gen. David G. Perkins, a Multinational Force Iraq spokesman, said.

“This is a dramatic improvement of safety throughout the country,” Perkins told reporters during a wide-ranging news conference in Baghdad yesterday.

He added that the country’s murder rates have dropped below levels that existed before the start of American operations in Iraq. In November, the ratio was 0.9 per 100,000 people.


If this keeps up even as we pull our forces back from routine combat operations and large-scale presence in the cities, I think that by June I'd be willing to look back and call November 27, 2008, Victory in Iraq Day.

But June is an eternity away. So I won't prepare the celebration yet.